Those Darn Market Makers
Is the
market
maker
really watching your every move? Knowing where your
stop
and limit
order
are? In this article the author tries to separate fact from
fiction. I just finished a training
session on the internet and I answered a question that I
have answered 100 times before or more. It got me a bit
worked up because there is far too much mythology out there
about the market
and how it works and who does what to whom. I am going to
attack one of the straw men of trading myths. It is widely thought among
beginners and sadly many veterans alike that there is a
boogey man in the closet; a little man behind the green
curtain that pulls strings and levers and takes my trade
away from me. This misperception was generated in the early
days of the NASDAQ
electronic
trading platform.
In the early days when electronic (versus open
outcry face
to face) trading was just getting started there were
instances of market makers adjusting order
flows to stretch
spreads.
They would delay market
orders so they
filled at higher or lower prices when the prices were moving
fast. There were also some instances of prices being
manipulated to hit pockets of stop
loss orders that
were visible on the screens. A number of lawsuits and
firings and license revocations stopped that very quickly,
but myths prevail and it seems that people need to have
demons to explain calamities and excuse their shortcomings.
The calamity is that trading skills often do not match the
market conditions. When that happens please have the sense
not to blame the mean nasty conniving market
maker. Fact: The
market maker does not know or care much about you, at least
not in a negative way. A market maker wants you to be there
because with out you they are out of business. But you are
not a target to abuse. You are a number, you are a single
trade in a day of hundreds it not thousands of trades and
the five to thirty cents your trade makes will not be more
than a drop in a bucket to them. They want your trade and
will compete with other market makers to get your business.
When you place an order
in the spread the market makers may debate whether to meet
your request, and if it is reasonable some hungry market
maker will take it even if the others dont want to.
You represent their livelihood but you are not
FOOD! Fact:
Except in a few extraordinary cases, prices have to move
incrementally. That means the idea of market makers jumping
up or down to grab your stop bogus. It is illegal and would
get picked up by the regulatory process. The exceptions are
as follows; a gap
in over night trading can give the market maker a right to
gap prices. A Fast
Market (wild
irregular trading) condition gives some leeway for market
makers to catch up. Market makers can in certain cases also
move prices with out corresponding price action. If
volatility
changes in the market and there are no active orders on the
book they can adjust option
prices. In that case they can adjust prices to actual
changing conditions. Otherwise they can not just move prices
around to look for your stop. They can push a price up or
down by manipulating the bid
and ask
but generally there has to be stock
movement and or volatility movement before prices can be
adjusted. Fact:
Your stop is not visible to the market maker. Even if it is
an actual order, if it is away from the price it is
invisible to them. Until the price action approaches your
stop (close to the money)
they can not see it. Once it is close to the money it is
visible but the above rules apply. Fact: A
market maker can not skip your order either. They are
required to trade 100 shares
or one contract before moving a price so if you place an
order of 100 shares or 10 contracts and you dont get
filled they did not skip you and if you had only one or two
contracts fill it would be perfectly legal. If your 10
contract order was an All or Nothing and you got
nothing, they they were not obligated to fill it for you.
However if no orders had yet been traded at that price and
it was not an All or Nothing, they would be
obligated to take part of your order because they can not
back away from a trade. At least 100 shares or one contract
must be traded before prices can be moved if there are
legitimate orders in line. So, if there is a Bid and Ask
showing and you place an order here is what can
happen
Games: There is definitely an
element of gamesmanship that is legal. Generally the market
maker will have more experience and will be better at it
than you. That is not illegal but definitely painful to the
rookie who may feel cheated, but if a rookie takes on the
pros and loses it is not because of cheating. Fishing: Option trading is where
most fishing goes on. Slow volume means orders come through
one at a time and so there can be an electronic face off
between you and the market maker. They are not trying to
cheat or hurt you and generally it is the trader
that pushed the button that starts the game. As stated
earlier, if you hit the Bid or Ask, your order will almost
always go through but, if you offer
in the spread and there is light volume, it can be like
poking a wasps nest with a stick. Its like
offering some one ten dollars
for their twenty dollar chair. You started it. So you send
in the order and it is not filled and the price goes up.
Whoa, you think Cool. Its moving my way,
Ill try again but I still want to get a
discount, so you offer in the spread again. Same thing
happens so you quickly raise your price to the Ask and buy
before it gets away from you. Now the price settles back
down and you are frustrated. If you were to check out the
volume you would find that you were the only order and you
were played. If you had offered at the Ask the first time it
would have probably been filled but, your offer allowed them
to move the bait which you hungrily chased. At the other
end, a market maker smiles, nods their head and is thankful
you came to play at their house today. Taking out
stops: This is classic
misrepresentation. First of all, as stated above, price
movement is controlled. Secondly, they are invisible
especially if you use contingent stops which technically
dont even exist. Thirdly if you are doing card tricks
with three year olds, you dont have to hide the cards
really well. Look, market makers learn from experience that
people are basically lazy and creatures of habit. If a stock
dips
to seventy dollars and rises a bit, it may indicate that buy
stops kicked in. If volume increases it may indicate stops
were present as stops do tend to be set at whole numbers.
Well that kind of sets a precedent for the next trip to
support.
If you set your stop at seventy and get hit only to see it
bounce you may feel violated and cheated, but remember three
year olds are easily impressed and offended. When a pheasant
hunter goes into a field they look for stands of tall grass.
They send the hunting dog over to rustle the grass and if
birds fly up, were the hunters cheating? No, they are just
good hunters. Folks, this is their business and it is a
competition but not a war. Businesses may fight each other
but not their customers. Now salesmanship will dictate that
they try to get the customer to pay the best price but they
are not out to get you! If you make it easy for them by your
lack of skill it is not their fault and they are not the bad
guys. I train my students to use
contingency stops so that they are completely invisible to
the market but not because I am afraid of market makers. I
want the student to set up If Then scenarios that keep
them neutral in their trading. I also show them where the
traps and land mines may be and where stops make the most
sense. It is simply learning to play the game and a big part
of that is learning the competition. The retailer is not
your enemy, they want your business and they do provide a
service but you must learn to not overpay or fall for that
flashy lure because the pros are not going to dumb down the
game for you. There are effectively
floor cops for the exchanges
and very strict rules. The Floor Governors committee has
over 20 checks and balances to monitor and regulate ALL
trades. No one can operate in a vacuum or under the wire.
Time stamps record every action and if you suspect foul play
you have the right to request a time stamp and proof that
your order was handled to the letter of the law. If there is
a mistake it is corrected in your favor. If foul play was
uncovered it could cost the market maker their license. By
the way in 1999 a seat on the NYSE
sold for 2.6 million dollars. Currently a NYSE seat goes for
1.1 million dollars and the Chicago
Board Options Exchange
(CBOE)
seats go for $590,000. Try to imagine a market maker risking
that investment
over a fifteen cent spread. FOLKS, listen to me
it
does not happen. Manipulation happens and games are played
but not like the myths and stories suggest. So
please let go of
the blame, the rhetoric and epitaphs that so conveniently
hide our own deficiencies as traders. Step up and own your
skill level and do something about it. |